U.S. BILL THREATENS BEEF IMPORTS
New Zealand beef exports to the United States would be seriously threatened placing the New Zealand beef industry in a precarious position if a new United States bill is made law.
This is the chilling word from Mr John Ward, general manager of Tupman Thurlow, the Vestey Organisation’s selling company in the United States, who was in New Zealand recently touring W & R Fletcher’s killing facilities.
He said the bill poses a very real threat to NZ’s beef industry as it was estimated that beef exports could drop by up to 25% in the next few years under quotas contained in the bill.
Mr Ward, who is also vicepresident of the Meat Importers Council of America (MICA), said the bill – the “Poag Bill” – was designed on a ‘counter cyclical’ concept which would ensure that when domestic production was high imports were cut back, with imports increasing only when local production was low.
Mr Ward said MICA was “very scared” of the bill.
“We are very much opposed to it. What it fails to take into account is that when United States beef production is down, so is production in Australia and New Zealand. They run on the same cycles.
“I doubt very much if New Zealand and Australia could comply with these demands unless they dropped production,” he said.
The bill is designed to last the full cattle cycle of ten years.
Mr Ward said it had been estimated in the United States that 1979, 1980 and 1981 would be good years for exporters, following by a sharp drop in 1982 – a trend which could continue through until 1986.
“Exports would apparently begin to build again in 1987, but even then the 1987 figures would not be all that encouraging,” he said.
He said total US beef imports next year were estimated at 1.650 billion pounds but that this would drop to something around 1.202 billion pounds in 1986.
“With New Zealand’s present 22% share of the US beef import market, exports could be affected by up to 25% if the bill went ahead,” Mr Ward said.
“We are opposing it entirely. We don’t want any quotas at all.”
Mr Ward said MICA was engaged in much lobbying in Washington over the issue: “But we are only 50 importers and I don’t know how many cattlement there are. They are opposed to importing but imports don’t substantially hurt domestic demand”.
The MICA case has been backed by the US International Trade Commission which recently voted unanimously that imports do not injure and do not threaten injury to US cattlemen, and by the US Council on Wages & Prices which said increased imports would help moderate prices.
“I think this is the most serious thing since the new import laws were introduced in the States in 1964.
“New Zealand could be asked to prepare for a declining beef industry. It is an extremely serious situation for both New Zealand and Australia.
“The concept has always been that we should have a share of an increasing market and that market is increasing as the population increases, even though the per capita consumption has probably reached a peak at 1261 lbs per year.”
However, Mr Ward said the fast-food market could be the saviour for New Zealand beef exports.
“The fast-food market is increasing tremendously. It is estimated that 40% of all beef consumed in the United States will be grinding beef, some of it going into sausages, but the bulk of it used in hamburgers.
“One argument we have used is that the greater the American production, the greater the fat throwoff.”
With US beef producers still producing fatty beef, imported beef is blended with fat trimmings from local beef to make up hamburgers. At present hamburger meat comprises 22% fat content.
“If imported meat is not coming in there would be an excess of fat, which would have to go to tallow – at a lower price,” Mr Ward said.
“We have received good response to arguments of this kind.”
Mr Ward said there was a chance that the President would veto the bill which was likely to be passed.
Or, he said, with Congress having a lot of work to get through in the next month and with the recess coming up before the elections, the President could leave the bill to lie on his table without his signature until the Congressional elections by which time it would not be able to be made law.
Mr Ward hinted that the bill could be illegal under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).
“I am given to understand that this sort of quota could be illegal under GATT, but I doubt if New Zealand and Australia would be strong enough to enforce this.
“It is unfortunate that at times when the US will allow more imports under the bill – when domestic production is low – NZ beef production will also be low.”
Talking about the threat of Textured Vegetable Protein (TVP) to meat, Mr Ward said it was always a threat when prices were too high, although generally consumers preferred full beef.
“Once grinding beef gets over $1 per pound, TVP will increase.” At present prices of 96-97c/lb, beef was well priced, he said. “That should give New Zealand farmers a good return.”
English-born, Mr Ward joined the Vestey Organisation in 1949 when he was transferred to Argentina for 12 years. In 1965 he was appointed general-manager of Tupman Thurlow in New York, a position he still holds.
He helped to form the Meat Importers Council of America in 1962, has been a director ever since and was chairman from 1969 to 1973.
Speaking in a cultured American accent – “they told me I should develop it” – he says his visit in New Zealand to Fletcher’s Westfield, Kaiti and Tomoana freezing works have been very worthwhile.
“The rejection records are excellent and a great improvement from the 1960s,” he said adding that the Tomoana plant will be one of the most modern in the world.
“It should be pointed out that the conditions which they (the Americans) are demanding of us here are no different than what they have there,” he said.
Photo caption – A brighter moment for New Zealand trade as the general manager of Tupman Thurlow, John Ward, second from left, talks to, from left, Peter Johnston, general manager designate of W & R Fletcher (N.Z.) Ltd, Mark Hinchliff, general manager, and Terry Jones, assistant general manager designate.
Fletcher’s Opening schedule Optimistic for Producers
W & R Fletcher (N. Z.) Ltd have announced an optimistic opening schedule $3.00 above last year’s rate of $13.50 for P.M. lambs.
Not only has the new rate for P.M.’s risen to $16.50 a head but the new rate for the lighter PL lamb is $14.70 a head as against $12.56 (including premium) in 1977. The new rates are also well above the closing schedule of last season which reflected an improvement in overseas prices.
Fletcher’s, who have traditionally set the opening lamb schedule, made the announcement earlier than usual because the ideal pastoral conditions pointed to some farmers requiring an early kill. Farmers make their decisions based on the values for various weights and grades so that announcing the early schedule will assist their planning.
Seasonal conditions and future cost rises indicate earlier killing this year than in the past seasons. Fletchers believe these factors resulted in the strong opening rates with returns unlikely to be bettered in subsequent months.
A significant feature of this season’s schedule is the increased rates for the lighter weight lambs. These lighter weight lambs are preferred by the majority of customers in the U. K., the Mediterranean and Middle East countries and increasingly in the United States.
W & R Fletcher (N. Z.) Ltd have set this year’s rates at : PL 93.9 cents per kilo; PM 90.7; PH 84.2; YL 89.0; YM 89.0; YH 84.2; OL 85.8; OM 85.8; and ALPHA 79.7 cents.
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